tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2171 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2171 · ORD → EWR

departs 3:57 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    39%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    22%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.