tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 218 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 218 · HNL → ORD

departs 4:00 PM HT · arrives 5:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.