Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2220 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

UA 2220 · OGG → LAX

departs 9:59 PM HT · arrives 6:16 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2220 · OGG → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?