UA 2289 · EWR → AUS

departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 6:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
36%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2289 · EWR → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?