UA 2359 · EWR → RDU

departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2359 · EWR → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?