UA 2374 · SFO → PHX

departs 8:04 AM PT · arrives 10:10 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2374 · SFO → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?