UA 2411 · TYS → DEN

departs 4:53 PM ET · arrives 6:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2411 · TYS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?