UA 2470 · YVR → DEN

departs 10:55 AM PDT · arrives 2:46 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2470 · YVR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?