Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2474 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

UA 2474 · FLL → IAH

departs 7:13 PM ET · arrives 9:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±5 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.84 in

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2474 · FLL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?