UA 2609 · OKC → DEN

departs 8:55 AM CT · arrives 9:41 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ 8am departures from OKC are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2609 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?