UA 2693 · EWR → SEA

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2693 · EWR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?