UA 2829 · SAN → DEN

departs 7:00 AM PT · arrives 10:31 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2829 · SAN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?