UA 324 · ACV → LAX

departs 1:28 PM PT · arrives 3:27 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ACV that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ACV (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 324 · ACV → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?