Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 453 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

UA 453 · SYR → DEN

departs 4:15 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 453 · SYR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?