UA 594 · MCI → IAH

departs 8:17 AM CT · arrives 10:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.64 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 594 · MCI → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?