UA 637 · AUS → LAX

departs 1:54 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 1pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.74 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 637 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?