Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 712 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

UA 712 · EWR → LAX

departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±8 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 712 · EWR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?