Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 713 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

UA 713 · SFO → EWR

departs 10:20 AM PT · arrives 7:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 713 · SFO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?