UA 714 · ORD → IAH

departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

90% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
10%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
39%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.96 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 714 · ORD → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?