Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 716 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

UA 716 · DEN → LAS

departs 4:00 PM MT · arrives 5:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.16 in

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 716 · DEN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?