UA 731 · DEN → BUF

departs 5:33 PM MT · arrives 10:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 731 · DEN → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?