UA 753 · SAT → IAH

departs 9:48 AM CT · arrives 11:00 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ 9am departures from SAT are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling540 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip3.40 in

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 753 · SAT → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?