UA 797 · DEN → SBP

departs 11:32 AM MT · arrives 1:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SBP?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 797 · DEN → SBP

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBP?