Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

UA 834 · ANC → ORD

departs 11:59 PM AKT · arrives 9:19 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.04 in

ORD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 834 · ANC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?