WN 1005 · GRR → MDW

departs 1:21 PM ET · arrives 1:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.54 in

MDW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1005 · GRR → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?