Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1007
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 1007 · LAS → RNO
departs 10:05 AM PT · arrives 11:30 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 13%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
LAS is busy at that time
↑
10am departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.