WN 1011 · MDW → BDL

departs 12:46 PM CT · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.85 in

BDL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1011 · MDW → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?