Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1019
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 1019 · HOU → MDW
departs 11:20 AM CT · arrives 1:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 17%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+31 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.