WN 1076 · LGB → OAK

departs 8:31 AM PT · arrives 10:02 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at OAK that day

↓ 8am departures from LGB are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1076 · LGB → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?