WN 1130 · DAL → BWI

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 7:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,367 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 5.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.36 in

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1130 · DAL → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?