WN 1143 · DEN → BWI

departs 3:27 PM MT · arrives 9:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1143 · DEN → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?