Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1225 · LAS → MCO
departs 2:40 PM PT · arrives 10:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 38%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.