WN 1230 · DAL → SAT

departs 12:52 PM CT · arrives 2:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
25%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ 2.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

SAT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling540 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip3.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1230 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?