WN 1230 · SNA → DAL

departs 7:16 AM PT · arrives 12:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from SNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1230 · SNA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?