WN 1249 · CMH → MCO

departs 1:36 PM ET · arrives 3:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1249 · CMH → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?