WN 1251 · MCI → DAL

departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 7:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
25%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.32 in

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip4.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1251 · MCI → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?