WN 1261 · CMH → MCO

departs 7:02 PM ET · arrives 9:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1261 · CMH → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?