WN 1261 · MDW → CMH

departs 4:16 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 4pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling967 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

CMH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1261 · MDW → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?