WN 126 · LAS → TUL

departs 8:23 AM PT · arrives 1:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 126 · LAS → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?