WN 1296 · HOU → COS

departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 8:21 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

COS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1296 · HOU → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?