WN 1299 · PVR → PHX

departs 2:46 PM CST · arrives 4:30 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1299 · PVR → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?