WN 1303 · CVG → AUS

departs 10:36 AM ET · arrives 12:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↑ AUS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ 10am departures from CVG are usually not late

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1303 · CVG → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?