WN 1321 · DAL → MSY

departs 7:29 PM CT · arrives 9:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from DAL are often late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

MSY (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1321 · DAL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?