WN 1376 · CMH → SRQ

departs 3:21 PM ET · arrives 5:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1376 · CMH → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?