WN 1389 · DAL → BNA

departs 12:07 PM CT · arrives 2:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.05 in

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1389 · DAL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?