WN 1389 · OAK → DAL

departs 6:01 AM PT · arrives 11:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ OAK is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OAK are usually not late

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1389 · OAK → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?