Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1399
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 1399 · MCI → BWI
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 38%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 30 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.60 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.