WN 1411 · MDW → FLL

departs 8:51 AM CT · arrives 12:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

FLL (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1411 · MDW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?