Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 1432 · SAT → MCI
departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 12:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 16%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Other factors
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 2.13 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 2.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.