WN 1437 · DAL → PHX

departs 5:36 PM CT · arrives 6:21 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1437 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?